Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari U19 vs Genoa U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Pittino T.
22'
Sub
Balde M. In: Trepy Y.
Out: Balde M.
45' Event
Bolzan A.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Cagliari U19 and Genoa U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cagliari U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cagliari U19
15%
Draws
40%
Genoa U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Genoa U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cagliari U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Genoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U19 Genoa U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs Genoa U19
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Cagliari U19
4:0
Mar 16, 2022 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs Genoa U19
2:0
Sep 11, 2021 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Cagliari U19
0:1
May 2, 2021 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Cagliari U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolzan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carboni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Genoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdellaoui N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U19 31 / 100
Genoa U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U19 Genoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cagliari U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Genoa U19 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cagliari U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U19 VS Genoa U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U19

(Home)
19 Jul
Cagliari
3 : 0
Cagliari U19
19 May
Verona U19
3 : 5
Cagliari U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Fiorentina U19
1 : 2
Cagliari U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
Page 1 of 7

Genoa U19

(Away)
19 May
Genoa U19
2 : 4
Sassuolo U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Genoa U19
3 : 1
Juventus U19
27 Apr
Verona U19
1 : 3
Genoa U19
20 Apr
Genoa U19
3 : 2
Fiorentina U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)