Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Mendy P.
Assist: Adopo M.
8'
8'
Mendy P.
40'
40'
Scamacca G.
AI Match Summary
Cagliari in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Cagliari have won more games recently than Atalanta.
- Model gives Cagliari a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 20%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cagliari | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari
1:2
Apr 27, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Atalanta
3:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Atalanta
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cagliari Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendy P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Borrelli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Scamacca G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cagliari 42 / 100
Atalanta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cagliari Atalanta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Atalanta let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Cagliari went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cagliari VS Atalanta
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cagliari
(Home) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0 Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2 Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1 Inter
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1 Cagliari
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0 Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2 Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1 Inter
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0 Arezzo
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0 Nice
Page 1 of 4
Atalanta
(Away) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
08 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3 Atalanta
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Atalanta
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)
