Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari vs Lanciano

Italy Italy

Serie B 2015/2016 Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sau M.
Assist: Di Gennaro D.
38' Event
Ferrari N.
Assist: Amenta F.
46'
Sub
Ceppitelli L. In: Salamon B.
Out: Ceppitelli L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cagliari
20%
Draws
15%
Lanciano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cagliari lately — more wins on the board than Lanciano.
  • Model gives Cagliari a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 68%
Lanciano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Lanciano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Serie B
Cagliari vs Lanciano
1:1
Dec 9, 2015 Serie B
Lanciano vs Cagliari
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Sau M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lanciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 95 / 100
Lanciano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Lanciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lanciano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Cagliari's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cagliari stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
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Lanciano

(Away)
08 Jun
Salernitana
1 : 0
Lanciano
04 Jun
Lanciano
1 : 4
Salernitana
20 May
Livorno
2 : 2
Lanciano
14 May
Lanciano
1 : 1
Ternana
08 May
Pescara
4 : 0
Lanciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cagliari 42 25 8 9 78:41 83
2 Crotone 42 23 13 6 61:36 82
3 Trapani 42 20 13 9 64:49 73
4 Pescara 42 21 9 12 69:52 72
5 Bari 42 19 11 12 58:48 68
6 Cesena 42 19 11 12 57:37 68
7 Spezia 42 17 15 10 47:45 66
8 Novara 42 19 10 13 57:35 65
9 Entella 42 17 13 12 51:40 64
10 Perugia 42 14 13 15 40:40 55
11 Brescia 42 14 12 16 55:64 54
12 Ternana 42 15 8 19 50:56 53
13 Vicenza 42 11 16 15 41:53 49
14 Avellino 42 13 10 19 52:66 49
15 Ascoli 42 13 8 21 45:64 47
16 Latina 42 10 16 16 44:51 46
17 Pro Vercelli 42 11 13 18 43:53 46
18 Salernitana 42 9 18 15 48:62 45
19 Lanciano 42 12 12 18 43:56 44
20 Livorno 42 10 12 20 45:57 42
21 Modena 42 11 9 22 37:55 42
22 Como 42 5 18 19 39:64 33
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)