Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caicara U20 vs Comercial PI U20

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
0 - 3
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caicara U20 host Comercial PI U20 in the Piauiense U20. This has Comercial PI U20 written all over it on paper. Comercial PI U20 have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Caicara U20 have conceded 3.88 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Comercial PI U20 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 2.69, favoring Comercial PI U20. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Caicara U20
15%
Draws
78%
Comercial PI U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Caicara U20 haven't matched Comercial PI U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Comercial PI U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Caicara U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Comercial PI U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caicara U20 Comercial PI U20
Matches Played 8 12
Wins 0 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 0.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Piauiense U20
Caicara U20 vs Comercial PI U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caicara U20 10 / 100
Comercial PI U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caicara U20 Comercial PI U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Caicara U20 scored in 38% of their last 8 games.

Defensive concern: Comercial PI U20 conceded in 50% of 12 recent games.

Caicara U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caicara U20 VS Comercial PI U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caicara U20

(Home)
08 Jul
Caicara U20
0 : 3
Comercial PI U20
04 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
3 : 0
Caicara U20
01 Jul
Caicara U20
0 : 3
Julho Esporte U20
08 Jul
Tiradentes-PI U20
7 : 1
Caicara U20
30 Jun
Caicara U20
2 : 2
Oeirense U20
Page 1 of 2

Comercial PI U20

(Away)
27 Jul
Comercial PI U20
1 : 2
River-PI U20
15 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
1 : 3
Comercial PI U20
10 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 1
Julho Esporte U20
08 Jul
Caicara U20
0 : 3
Comercial PI U20
06 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 0
Parnahyba U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial PI U20 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Ferroviario-PI U20 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Julho Esporte U20 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Parnahyba U20 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
5 Caicara U20 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Piauiense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos U20 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Corisabba U20 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 Oeirense U20 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
Promotion - Piauiense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI U20 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Fluminense Piaui U20 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Tiradentes-PI U20 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
4 River-PI U20 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
5 AE Altos U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Piauiense U20 (Play Offs)