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Caicara vs Piaui - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2024
Caicara Logo

Caicara

1 - 2
FT
Piaui Logo

Piaui

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Tiago
63' Event
Gustavo Henrique
77' Event
Alex Mineiro
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Piaui in this Piauiense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piaui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caicara
15%
Draws
85%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Piaui have won more games recently than Caicara.
  • Piaui are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Caicara Clean Sheet 10%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caicara Piaui
Matches Played 18 39
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 2.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Piaui
1:2
Sep 3, 2024 Piauiense 2
Piaui vs Caicara
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caicara Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Mineiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caicara 10 / 100
Piaui 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caicara Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Caicara scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Piaui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 39 matches.

Piaui lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caicara VS Piaui
0.8 Goals Scored 1.38
3.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caicara

(Home)
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
Page 1 of 4

Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 8 6 1 1 12:2 19
2 Piaui 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
3 Comercial PI 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
4 Caicara 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
5 Flamengo PI 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2024 (Play Offs)