Sport Picks

San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese

Cailungo

1 - 2

AC Libertas

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Bua A.

(Penalty)

34'

Cozzino E.

90'

Morelli G.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AC Libertas in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Libertas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Cailungo

30%

Draws

34%

AC Libertas

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cailungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to AC Libertas lately — more wins on the board than Cailungo.
Win probability leans Cailungo's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

AC Libertas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cailungo	AC Libertas
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	2	10
Draws	5	10
Losses	23	14
Goals Scored	1.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	3.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese

Cailungo vs AC Libertas

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Oct 21, 2025 Coppa Titano

AC Libertas vs Cailungo

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Titano

Cailungo vs AC Libertas

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese

AC Libertas vs Cailungo

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Apr 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese

AC Libertas vs Cailungo

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

AC Libertas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cozzino E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 34 / 100

AC Libertas 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cailungo AC Libertas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AC Libertas conceded in 85% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cailungo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: AC Libertas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS AC Libertas

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tre Fiori	30	22	7	1	63:13	73
2	Virtus	30	22	6	2	76:20	72
3	Tre Penne	30	21	7	2	71:18	70
4	La Fiorita	30	17	11	2	64:25	57
5	Folgore	30	16	9	5	67:33	57
6	SP Domagnano	30	14	7	9	59:36	49
7	Fiorentino	30	14	4	12	37:42	46
8	SP Cosmos	30	11	9	10	30:23	42
9	Juvenes/Dogana	30	9	10	11	36:38	37
10	AC Libertas	30	9	8	13	32:63	35
11	SS Pennarossa	30	8	8	14	29:53	32
12	San Giovanni	30	7	10	13	24:43	31
13	SC Faetano	30	6	4	20	22:55	22
14	San Marino Academy U22	30	3	7	20	23:60	16
15	Cailungo	30	2	5	23	23:71	11
16	SS Murata	30	1	4	25	20:83	-2