Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cailungo vs AC Libertas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cailungo host AC Libertas in the Campionato Sammarinese. AC Libertas are expected to control this from the start. AC Libertas have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Cailungo have conceded 2.38 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Cailungo have won 1 to AC Libertas's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.81) point toward AC Libertas. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cailungo
20%
Draws
50%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Libertas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AC Libertas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cailungo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 11%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo AC Libertas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs AC Libertas
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Cailungo
2:1
Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
Cailungo vs AC Libertas
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Cailungo
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Cailungo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 35 / 100
AC Libertas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo AC Libertas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Libertas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cailungo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cailungo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS AC Libertas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

AC Libertas

(Away)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)