Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cailungo vs Folgore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Miori M.
Assist: Sartori F.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Cailungo and Folgore finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Cailungo
15%
Draws
71%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Cailungo haven't matched Folgore's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Folgore's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folgore here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo Folgore
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.86 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Cailungo
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Folgore
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Cailungo
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Folgore
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Cailungo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Miori M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 10 / 100
Folgore 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cailungo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Folgore let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cailungo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS Folgore
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

Folgore

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)