Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cailungo vs SP Cosmos

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Bua A.
75' Event
Islamaj K.
Assist: Gjurchinoski B.
79' Event
Conti A.
Assist: Inzerauto K.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between Cailungo and SP Cosmos finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cailungo
6%
Draws
90%
SP Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SP Cosmos come out ahead of Cailungo on wins alone.
  • Model gives SP Cosmos a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo SP Cosmos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Cailungo
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Cosmos
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Cailungo
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Cosmos
0:5
Feb 10, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Cailungo
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bua A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SP Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Islamaj K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjoni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 10 / 100
SP Cosmos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo SP Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Cailungo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: SP Cosmos conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cailungo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS SP Cosmos
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
19 Apr
Cailungo
1 : 6
Virtus
11 Apr
Tre Penne
6 : 1
Cailungo
07 Apr
Cailungo
1 : 2
SS Pennarossa
21 Mar
SP Cosmos
2 : 1
Cailungo
Page 1 of 6

SP Cosmos

(Away)
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0
Tre Penne
03 May
Tre Penne
0 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0
SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
SP Cosmos
2 : 0
SC Faetano
19 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 1
SP Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)