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Cailungo vs SP Domagnano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Bua A.
79' Event
Bonetti M.
Assist: Perazzini D.
88' Event
Gozzi E.
Assist: Ferraro N.

AI Match Summary

SP Domagnano in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Domagnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cailungo
15%
Draws
64%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SP Domagnano have won more games recently than Cailungo.
  • Model gives SP Domagnano a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SP Domagnano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 11%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo SP Domagnano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Domagnano
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Domagnano
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Cailungo
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Domagnano
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Cailungo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bua A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonetti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gozzi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 18 / 100
SP Domagnano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cailungo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cailungo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS SP Domagnano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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SP Domagnano

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)