Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
De Lucia U.
7'
7'
Boateng S. A.
Assist: Persichilli L.
41'
41'
Zenoni M.
Assist: Lombardi T.
AI Match Summary
Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Virtus lately — more wins on the board than Cailungo.
- 69% — that's where the model lands on Virtus taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Virtus have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cailungo | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 2 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 24 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Virtus
1:6
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Cailungo
6:0
Mar 15, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Cailungo
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Virtus
0:7
Apr 7, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Virtus
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cailungo Compare
Top Goalscorer Boateng S. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Zenoni M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Piscitella G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cailungo 10 / 100
Virtus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cailungo Virtus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Cailungo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Virtus conceded in 50% of 34 recent games.
Cailungo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cailungo VS Virtus
0.83 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cailungo
(Home) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
19 Apr
Cailungo
1 : 6 Virtus
07 Apr
Cailungo
1 : 2 SS Pennarossa
15 Mar
Cailungo
1 : 3 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 3
Virtus
(Away) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1 Virtus
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1 Virtus
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
