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Stadium Background

Cairese vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Piacenza T.
60' Event
Ciccone L.
90' Event
Graziani G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Cairese and Chisola finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cairese
30%
Draws
34%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cairese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chisola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cairese a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%
Chisola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Chisola
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Chisola
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Cairese
3:0
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Cairese
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Chisola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Piacenza T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graziani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 46 / 100
Chisola 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chisola has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Cairese's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cairese remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Chisola
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Chisola

(Away)
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0
Ligorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)