Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cairese vs Derthona FbC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Spatari A.
85' Event
Jebbar M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Cairese and Derthona FbC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cairese
20%
Draws
50%
Derthona FbC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Derthona FbC's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Cairese have produced (0.83).
  • Win probability leans Cairese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Derthona FbC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Derthona FbC
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Cairese
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Derthona FbC
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Cairese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Spatari A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jebbar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Derthona FbC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 59 / 100
Derthona FbC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Derthona FbC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cairese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Derthona FbC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cairese scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Cairese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Derthona FbC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Derthona FbC

(Away)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Derthona FbC
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)