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Cairese vs Fossano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Castiglia L.
38' Event
Benti L.
90' Event
Turone F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Cairese and Fossano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cairese
15%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cairese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fossano haven't matched Cairese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cairese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%
Fossano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Fossano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Fossano
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Cairese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Castiglia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turone F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Benti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 95 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cairese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fossano conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Fossano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cairese's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 7

Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)