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Cairese vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Spatari A.
50' Event
Jebbar M.

AI Match Summary

Cairese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cairese
39%
Draws
31%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio have won more games recently than Cairese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Imperia Calcio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Imperia Calcio
2:0
Nov 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Cairese
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Imperia Calcio
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Cairese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Spatari A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jebbar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Imperia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 41 / 100
Imperia Calcio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cairese scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Cairese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Imperia Calcio
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)