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Stadium Background

Cairese vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Spatari A.
50' Event
Jebbar M.

AI Match Summary

Cairese in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cairese
15%
Draws
59%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio have won more games recently than Cairese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Imperia Calcio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Cairese Clean Sheet 26%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Imperia Calcio
2:0
Nov 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Cairese
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Imperia Calcio
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Cairese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Spatari A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jebbar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Imperia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 38 / 100
Imperia Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cairese scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Cairese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Imperia Calcio
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
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Imperia Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)