Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cairese vs Valenzana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Graziani T. U20
35' Event
Jebbar M.
83' Event
Anselmo A.

AI Match Summary

Cairese in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cairese
15%
Draws
59%
Valenzana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valenzana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Valenzana have won more games recently than Cairese.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cairese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Cairese Clean Sheet 20%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Valenzana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Valenzana
4:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs Cairese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Anselmo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Graziani T. U20
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Valenzana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 42 / 100
Valenzana 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Valenzana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenzana has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cairese scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Cairese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Valenzana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Valenzana

(Away)
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
02 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 2
Valenzana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)