Sport Picks
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca 
Match Events
5'
5'
Vilca R.
Assist: Ayovi W.
27'
27'
Camacho D.
36'
36'
Ganoza M.
AI Match Summary
Comerciantes Unidos in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes Unidos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comerciantes Unidos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Comerciantes Unidos lately — more wins on the board than Cajamarca.
- Model gives Comerciantes Unidos a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cajamarca | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:3
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Camacho D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Vilca R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cajamarca 26 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cajamarca Comerciantes Unidos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comerciantes Unidos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cajamarca scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Comerciantes Unidos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Difficult form: Comerciantes Unidos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cajamarca VS Comerciantes Unidos
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cajamarca
(Home) 20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1 AD Tarma
26 Jul
Cajamarca
0 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 3
Comerciantes Unidos
(Away) 18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
