Sport Picks
Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca 
AI Match Summary
Cajamarca host FBC Melgar in the Liga 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Cajamarca at 1.28 goals for, 1.86 against; FBC Melgar at 1.41 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Cajamarca have won 0 to FBC Melgar's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.81) back FBC Melgar to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to FBC Melgar lately — more wins on the board than Cajamarca.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on FBC Melgar taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FBC Melgar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cajamarca | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Cajamarca scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: FBC Melgar conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
FBC Melgar's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cajamarca
(Home)FBC Melgar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
