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Stadium Background

Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Arce L.
24'
Camacho D.
26'
Munoz A.

AI Match Summary

Juan Pablo II in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juan Pablo II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cajamarca
15%
Draws
85%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Juan Pablo II have won more games recently than Cajamarca.
  • Win probability leans Juan Pablo II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Juan Pablo II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajamarca Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Cajamarca
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Cajamarca
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Juan Pablo II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Posito J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajamarca 10 / 100
Juan Pablo II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajamarca Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juan Pablo II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juan Pablo II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Cajamarca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cajamarca VS Juan Pablo II
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajamarca

(Home)
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

Juan Pablo II

(Away)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)