Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cajamarca vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cajamarca host Moquegua in the Liga 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cajamarca have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Moquegua's 1 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Cajamarca have won 1 to Moquegua's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.25 - 1.25) back Cajamarca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cajamarca
39%
Draws
31%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cajamarca haven't matched Moquegua's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 19%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajamarca Moquegua
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Cajamarca
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajamarca 31 / 100
Moquegua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajamarca Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Cajamarca's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Moquegua conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cajamarca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cajamarca VS Moquegua
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajamarca

(Home)
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Cajamarca
12 Jul
Cajamarca
4 : 1
ADA Jaen
26 Jun
Cajamarca
3 : 1
FC Cajamarca
15 Jun
Llacuabamba
2 : 2
Cajamarca
31 May
Los Chankas
2 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

Moquegua

(Away)
18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
FBC Melgar
0 : 0
Moquegua
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2
Tacna Heroica
29 May
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cusco11004:13
2FBC Melgar11003:13
3Atletico Grau11003:13
4A. Lima11002:13
5Universitario de Deportes11002:13
6Sporting Cristal11001:03
7Los Chankas11001:03
8Comerciantes Unidos10102:21
9Moquegua10102:21
10Juan Pablo II10102:21
11FC Cajamarca10102:21
12Sport Huancayo10011:20
13AD Tarma10011:20
14Sport Boys10010:10
15Deportivo Garcilaso10010:10
16Cienciano10011:30
17Cajamarca10011:30
18Alianza Atl.10011:40
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)