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Stadium Background

Cala Pozuelo vs Aravaca CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Alonso M.
22' Event
Pascual D.
42'
Alcaide A.

AI Match Summary

Cala Pozuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cala Pozuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cala Pozuelo
15%
Draws
34%
Aravaca CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cala Pozuelo have won more games recently than Aravaca CF.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 68%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cala Pozuelo Aravaca CF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Aravaca CF
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Cala Pozuelo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Prieto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aravaca CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 41 / 100
Aravaca CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cala Pozuelo Aravaca CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cala Pozuelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Cala Pozuelo's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cala Pozuelo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cala Pozuelo VS Aravaca CF
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cala Pozuelo

(Home)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
11 May
Cala Pozuelo
4 : 1
Alcorcon B
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Aravaca CF

(Away)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)