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Cala Pozuelo vs Aravaca CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Alonso M.
22' Event
Pascual D.
42'
Alcaide A.

AI Match Summary

Cala Pozuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cala Pozuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cala Pozuelo
20%
Draws
38%
Aravaca CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Cala Pozuelo and Aravaca CF on recent form.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cala Pozuelo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 20%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cala Pozuelo Aravaca CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Aravaca CF
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Cala Pozuelo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Prieto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aravaca CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 42 / 100
Aravaca CF 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cala Pozuelo Aravaca CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Cala Pozuelo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cala Pozuelo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cala Pozuelo VS Aravaca CF
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122