Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025

Cala Pozuelo

1 - 0

Canillas

Our Tip

Match Events

85'

Herrero A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cala Pozuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cala Pozuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Cala Pozuelo

Draws

Canillas

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Cala Pozuelo lately — more wins on the board than Canillas.
Model gives Cala Pozuelo a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 68%

Canillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cala Pozuelo	Canillas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	7	6
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Cala Pozuelo vs Canillas

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Canillas vs Cala Pozuelo

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrero A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Canillas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 95 / 100

Canillas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cala Pozuelo Canillas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Canillas conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Canillas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cala Pozuelo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cala Pozuelo VS Canillas

1 Goals Scored 0.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RSD Alcala	34	23	6	5	68:32	75
2	Rayo Vallecano B	34	18	7	9	71:52	61
3	AD Torrejon	34	17	7	10	55:48	58
4	Villaverde San Andres	34	14	12	8	52:37	54
5	Galapagar	34	14	12	8	45:41	54
6	CD Las Rozas	34	15	9	10	45:42	54
7	Collado Villalba	34	14	10	10	44:36	52
8	Leganes B	34	13	12	9	58:38	51
9	Alcorcon B	34	13	8	13	55:50	47
10	Trival Valderas	34	12	10	12	47:47	46
11	Tres Cantos	34	12	9	13	43:44	45
12	Mexico	34	11	9	14	35:49	42
13	Carabanchel	34	10	12	12	30:29	42
14	Parla	34	10	8	16	38:58	38
15	Cala Pozuelo	34	10	8	16	42:51	38
16	Aravaca CF	34	9	8	17	42:52	35
17	Canillas	34	5	8	21	36:68	23
18	El Alamo	34	5	7	22	29:61	22