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Cala Pozuelo vs Canillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Cala Pozuelo Logo

Cala Pozuelo

1 - 0
FT
Canillas Logo

Canillas

Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Herrero A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cala Pozuelo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cala Pozuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cala Pozuelo
15%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cala Pozuelo lately — more wins on the board than Canillas.
  • Model gives Cala Pozuelo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 68%
Canillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cala Pozuelo Canillas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Canillas
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Cala Pozuelo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Canillas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 95 / 100
Canillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cala Pozuelo Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cala Pozuelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Canillas conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Canillas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cala Pozuelo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cala Pozuelo VS Canillas
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cala Pozuelo

(Home)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
11 May
Cala Pozuelo
4 : 1
Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 6

Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)