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Cala Pozuelo vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Redondo I.
61' Event
Pascual D.
80' Event
Greciano J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Cala Pozuelo and Galapagar finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cala Pozuelo
20%
Draws
38%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galapagar come out ahead of Cala Pozuelo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cala Pozuelo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 19%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cala Pozuelo Galapagar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Cala Pozuelo
3:5
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Galapagar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pascual D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Greciano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reguilon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 42 / 100
Galapagar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cala Pozuelo Galapagar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Cala Pozuelo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Galapagar conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cala Pozuelo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galapagar
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122