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Calamocha vs Fuentes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Torcal Guiu D.
58' Event
Roche F.
89' Event
Ensenat M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Calamocha and Fuentes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Calamocha
20%
Draws
29%
Fuentes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Calamocha taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Calamocha have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calamocha Fuentes
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Fuentes
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Calamocha
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Fuentes
3:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Calamocha
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ensenat M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Fuentes Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calamocha 59 / 100
Fuentes 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calamocha Fuentes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calamocha scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Fuentes conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Calamocha has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calamocha VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calamocha

(Home)
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
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Fuentes

(Away)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)