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Calarasi vs Agigea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 game between Calarasi and Agigea finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calarasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Calarasi
15%
Draws
59%
Agigea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agigea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Agigea haven't matched Calarasi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Agigea's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 10%
Agigea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Agigea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Agigea
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Calarasi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 10 / 100
Agigea 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Agigea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agigea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agigea has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Calarasi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Calarasi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calarasi VS Agigea
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calarasi

(Home)
11 Sept
Calarasi
0 : 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
05 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 0
Calarasi
28 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
12 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 3
Afumati
05 Aug
Calarasi
2 : 0
Inainte Modelu
Page 1 of 6

Agigea

(Away)
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 1
Agigea
29 Aug
Agigea
5 : 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
29 Jul
Agigea
2 : 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda
16 May
Agigea
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 22 15 3 4 51:27 48
2 Popesti Leordeni 22 13 6 3 47:17 45
3 Inainte Modelu 22 14 3 5 51:26 45
4 Calarasi 22 12 4 6 37:30 40
5 FCSB 2 22 12 3 7 52:33 39
6 Progresul Fundulea 22 10 1 11 38:30 31
7 Gloria Baneasa 22 9 2 11 44:47 29
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 22 9 0 13 33:44 27
9 Axiopolis Cernavoda 22 7 2 13 31:44 23
10 Agigea 22 7 2 13 26:52 23
11 Din. Bucuresti 2 22 6 1 15 32:52 19
12 Voluntari 2 22 3 3 16 26:66 12
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)