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Calasancio vs Agoncillo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 game between Calasancio and Agoncillo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Calasancio
35%
Draws
40%
Agoncillo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Agoncillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agoncillo come out ahead of Calasancio on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Agoncillo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Calasancio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 11%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasancio Agoncillo
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Agoncillo
1:1
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Calasancio
0:1
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Calasancio
0:1
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Agoncillo
1:0
Mar 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Agoncillo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasancio 10 / 100
Agoncillo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasancio Agoncillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agoncillo conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Calasancio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Calasancio's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Calasancio VS Agoncillo
1.17 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasancio

(Home)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
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Agoncillo

(Away)
04 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 0
Vianes
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
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