Sport Picks
Calasancio vs Ciudad de Alfaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 game between Calasancio and Ciudad de Alfaro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calasancio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calasancio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Calasancio carry the better recent record into this one.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Calasancio taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 16%
Ciudad de Alfaro Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Calasancio | Ciudad de Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Ciudad de Alfaro
1:0
Sep 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Calasancio
2:2
Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Ciudad de Alfaro
3:1
Oct 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Calasancio
2:0
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Calasancio
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Calasancio 84 / 100
Ciudad de Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Calasancio Ciudad de Alfaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Calasancio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Ciudad de Alfaro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ciudad de Alfaro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Calasancio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Calasancio VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Calasancio
(Home) 04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1 Casalarreina CF
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0 Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0 Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3 Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1 Casalarreina CF
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0 Anguiano
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1 Agoncillo
23 May
Calasancio
2 : 0 Villegas
Page 1 of 4
Ciudad de Alfaro
(Away) 16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4 Yague
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5 Varea
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
12 Apr
Villegas
0 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
29 Mar
River Ebro
1 : 0 Ciudad de Alfaro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varea | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 101:40 | 88 |
| 2 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 92:24 | 83 |
| 3 | Naxara | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 86:33 | 76 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:38 | 76 |
| 5 | Vianes | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 65:41 | 73 |
| 6 | Alfaro | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 7 | Oyonesa | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 49:32 | 71 |
| 8 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 56:43 | 55 |
| 10 | River Ebro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 56:65 | 47 |
| 11 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39:69 | 42 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Alfaro | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:58 | 39 |
| 13 | Pena Balsamaiso | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 37:74 | 37 |
| 14 | Arnedo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 33:58 | 37 |
| 15 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 37:59 | 36 |
| 16 | Calasancio | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32:52 | 36 |
| 17 | San Marcial | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 45:78 | 33 |
| 18 | Pradejon | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 39:77 | 32 |
| 19 | Berceo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 35:67 | 29 |
| 20 | CCD Alberite | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 36:109 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
