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Calcio Chieti vs Civitanovese Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 Stadio Guido Angelini
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ceccarelli T.

AI Match Summary

Calcio Chieti in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcio Chieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Calcio Chieti
20%
Draws
38%
Civitanovese Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Calcio Chieti have won more games recently than Civitanovese Calcio.
  • Calcio Chieti are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 16%
Civitanovese Calcio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Civitanovese Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Civitanovese Calcio
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Calcio Chieti
2:3
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Civitanovese Calcio
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Calcio Chieti
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceccarelli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Civitanovese Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 41 / 100
Civitanovese Calcio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Civitanovese Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Civitanovese Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Calcio Chieti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Calcio Chieti scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sambenedettese34219461:2172
2Aquila Calcio341711648:3162
3Teramo34179851:3360
4Calcio Chieti341611752:3958
5Fossombrone341214844:3650
6Ancona341381335:4047
7Avezzano341371441:4346
8Castelfidardo341291339:3445
9Atletico Ascoli3410131135:3943
10Vigor Senigallia349151036:3842
11Termoli349141137:4441
12Recanatese3410101442:5340
13AS Sora349131232:3940
14Notaresco Calcio341081637:4538
15Civitanovese Calcio348131331:3937
16Roma City348111532:3635
17Isernia348101632:5734
18Fermana346111724:4227