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Stadium Background

Calcio Chieti vs San Marino Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F Stadio Guido Angelini
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Monsif K.
42' Event
Mbaye A.
Own Goal
87'
Ziello A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Calcio Chieti
28%
Draws
22%
San Marino Calcio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • San Marino Calcio average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Calcio Chieti's 1.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Calcio Chieti taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 17%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti San Marino Calcio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs San Marino Calcio
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Calcio Chieti
2:0
Jan 22, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs San Marino Calcio
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Calcio Chieti
3:1
Aug 25, 2013 Coppa Italia Serie C
Calcio Chieti vs San Marino Calcio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsif K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Marino Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 48 / 100
San Marino Calcio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti San Marino Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Calcio let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Calcio Chieti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Calcio Chieti found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS San Marino Calcio
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ostiamare34247365:2579
2Ancona34237459:2276
3Teramo342111265:2974
4Atletico Ascoli341413755:3555
5Notaresco Calcio341312943:3151
6Aquila Calcio341491153:4451
7Giulianova341116740:3149
8Vigor Senigallia341213945:4049
9Fossombrone3411111228:3444
10Unipomezia3410121243:4242
11Termoli348151127:3039
12Maceratese341151843:4938
13AS Sora349111440:5038
14Recanatese34881839:5732
15San Marino Calcio34871933:6131
16Calcio Chieti348111531:5524
17Castelfidardo34652330:6523
18Sammaurese34572230:6920