Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Calcio Derthona vs Caronnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caronnese in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caronnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Calcio Derthona
20%
Draws
0%
Caronnese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio Derthona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calcio Derthona lately — more wins on the board than Caronnese.
  • Model gives Calcio Derthona a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 20%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Derthona Caronnese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.63 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs Caronnese
0:2
Oct 14, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Calcio Derthona
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Derthona 58 / 100
Caronnese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Derthona Caronnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Derthona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caronnese let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Caronnese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Calcio Derthona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Calcio Derthona scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caronnese
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Derthona

(Home)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
Page 1 of 6

Caronnese

(Away)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)