Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldas SC vs Covilha

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Caldas SC
30%
Draws
16%
Covilha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Caldas SC have won more games recently than Covilha.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 18%
Covilha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldas SC Covilha
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Covilha
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 3
Covilha vs Caldas SC
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga 3
Covilha vs Caldas SC
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Covilha
2:1
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Caldas SC vs Covilha
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 31 / 100
Covilha 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldas SC Covilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldas SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas SC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Covilha let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Caldas SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS Covilha
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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Covilha

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1
Mortagua FC
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
16 Aug
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Covilha
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