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Caldense vs Ideal FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008 game between Caldense and Ideal FC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Caldense
6%
Draws
4%
Ideal FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldense come out ahead of Ideal FC on wins alone.
  • Caldense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caldense have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Caldense Clean Sheet 20%
Ideal FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldense Ideal FC
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 7 4
Draws 13 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2009 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Ideal FC
6:0
Mar 15, 2009 Mineiro 2
Ideal FC vs Caldense
1:2
May 12, 2008 Mineiro 2
Ideal FC vs Caldense
2:4
Mar 9, 2008 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Ideal FC
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldense 85 / 100
Ideal FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldense Ideal FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ideal FC let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Difficult form: Ideal FC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caldense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Caldense VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America Mineiro20125333:1441
2Uberlandia20106425:1236
3Caldense20112729:2035
4EC Itauna2087521:1531
5Araxa2069521:2127
6Pocos de Caldas20411522:2423
7URT20411528:2923
8Ideal FC20641021:2922
9Formiga EC20641017:2622
10Valeriodoce2048818:2120
11Uniao Luziense20431321:4515