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Caldense vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Vitor Braga
90' Event
Ferreirinha

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Caldense and Mamore finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caldense
15%
Draws
85%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mamore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mamore taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Caldense Clean Sheet 26%
Mamore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldense Mamore
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.7 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Caldense
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Mamore
0:0
May 28, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Mamore
1:1
May 14, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Caldense
2:2
Jun 6, 2024 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Mamore
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Braga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreirinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldense 30 / 100
Mamore 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldense Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Caldense found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Mamore has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caldense VS Mamore
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldense

(Home)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

Mamore

(Away)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)