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Caldicot vs Garden Village - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, May 9, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caldicot host Garden Village in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Caldicot at 1.56 goals for, 1.83 against; Garden Village at 1.6 for, 1.85 against. Head-to-head, Caldicot have won 2 to Garden Village's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 9, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.94, favoring Garden Village. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caldicot
15%
Draws
42%
Garden Village
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caldicot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Garden Village have won more games recently than Caldicot.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 20%
Garden Village Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldicot Garden Village
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 7 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.56 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2020 Division 1
Caldicot vs Garden Village
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Division 1
Garden Village vs Caldicot
1:1
May 17, 2011 Division 1
Garden Village vs Caldicot
5:1
Nov 6, 2010 Division 1
Caldicot vs Garden Village
5:1
Feb 6, 2010 Division 1
Garden Village vs Caldicot
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldicot 36 / 100
Garden Village 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldicot Garden Village

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garden Village Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garden Village let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Caldicot's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Garden Village lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldicot VS Garden Village
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldicot

(Home)
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
21 Sept
Caldicot
1 : 2
Morriston Town
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0
Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3
Caldicot
Page 1 of 4

Garden Village

(Away)
18 Oct
Garden Village
2 : 4
Glynneath Town
20 Sept
Cwmbach Royal Stars
3 : 4
Garden Village
14 Aug
Garden Village
2 : 3
Goytre AFC
06 Mar
Garden Village
0 : 4
Pontardawe
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
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