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Caldicot vs Newport Civil Service

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newport Civil Service in this FA Cup 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport Civil Service.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Caldicot
39%
Draws
31%
Newport Civil Service
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caldicot lately — more wins on the board than Newport Civil Service.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 20%
Newport Civil Service Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldicot Newport Civil Service
Matches Played 19 7
Wins 7 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2011 FA Cup
Caldicot vs Newport Civil Service
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldicot 31 / 100
Newport Civil Service 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldicot Newport Civil Service

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport Civil Service let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Caldicot scored in 68% of their last 19 games.

Away concern: Newport Civil Service has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caldicot VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cefn Druids6
Caernarfon1
Carno FC0
Coedpoeth2
Llanidloes Town-
TBD-
Gwalchmai2
Connahs Q.7
Goytre Utd1
Ton Pentre0
Abertillery Bluebirds0
Caerau Ely2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Llandudno FC3
Venture Community1
Rhos Aelwyd0
Guilsfield1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United4
Ruthin Town1
Conwy Borough1
Caersws FC2
FC Cefn2
Penycae FC1
Connahs Quay Town0
Montgomery4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tata Steel3
Newcastle Emlyn1
Splott0
Bridgend Town2
Cambrian United5
Monmouth1
Llanrug3
Llandrindod4
Pontardawe3
Treowen0
Aberbargoed Buds0
AFC Porth2
Afan Lido-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Port Talbot-
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caerleon1
Aberaman0
Rhosgoch2
Merthyr Saints6
Taffs Well5
Undy4
Dinas Powys0
Builth2
Holyhead6
Llanrhaeadr1
Penrhyncoch0
Buckley4
Rhyl5
Gresford0
Bethesda Athletic1
Porthmadog3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Neath Athletic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cardiff Corries2
Cwmaman Institute0
Cwmbran Celtic0
West End2
Newport Civil Service4
Caldicot2
Risca United0
Newbridge4
Denbigh3
Llangefni2
Chirk AAA FC1
Flint Town5
Newport-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haverfordwest2
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Merthyr Town0
Barry Town3
Bryntirion Athletic3
Cwmbran Town1
Aberaeron1
Goytre AFC3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
1/32-finals
Cefn Druids8
Coedpoeth0
Llanidloes Town0
Connahs Q.2
Goytre Utd8
Caerau Ely1
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Llandudno FC3
Guilsfield1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United0
Caersws FC3
FC Cefn7
Montgomery3
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Tata Steel3
Bridgend Town5
Cambrian United2
Llandrindod0
Pontardawe0
AFC Porth3
Afan Lido-
TBD-
TBD-
Port Talbot-
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Bala-
TBD-
Caerleon3
Merthyr Saints4
Taffs Well5
Builth0
Holyhead2
Buckley5
Rhyl3
Porthmadog2
TBD-
Newtown-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
Neath Athletic-
TBD-
Cardiff Corries1
West End2
Newport Civil Service2
Newbridge0
Denbigh1
Flint Town2
Newport-
TBD-
Haverfordwest1
Barry Town2
Bryntirion Athletic5
Goytre AFC2
TBD-
TNS-
1/16-finals
Cefn Druids2
Connahs Q.1
Goytre Utd2
Prestatyn6
Llandudno FC1
Caersws FC0
FC Cefn1
Aberystwyth6
Carmarthen Town2
Bridgend Town1
Cambrian United0
AFC Porth1
Afan Lido1
Port Talbot0
Wrexham1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Bala6
Merthyr Saints0
Taffs Well3
Buckley4
Rhyl2
Newtown1
Bangor City2
Llanelli4
Neath Athletic4
West End0
Newport Civil Service0
Flint Town3
Newport3
Barry Town2
Bryntirion Athletic0
TNS6
1/8-finals
Cefn Druids2
Prestatyn0
Llandudno FC1
Aberystwyth2
Carmarthen Town3
AFC Porth1
Afan Lido2
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Bala4
Buckley2
Rhyl3
Llanelli4
Neath Athletic3
Flint Town1
Newport0
TNS4
Quarter-finals
Cefn Druids1
Aberystwyth0
Carmarthen Town1
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Bala2
Llanelli1
Neath Athletic0
TNS1
Semi-finals
Cefn Druids4
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Bala0
TNS4
Final
Cefn Druids0
TNS2