Sport Picks
Caldicot vs Penydarren Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Division 1 
AI Match Summary
Caldicot host Penydarren in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Caldicot have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Penydarren's 1.93 scored and 2.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Caldicot slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.52 xG vs 2.00) point toward Penydarren. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Penydarren carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Caldicot taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caldicot | Penydarren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 15 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caldicot's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.
Defensive concern: Penydarren conceded in 67% of 15 recent games.
Penydarren lost 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caldicot
(Home)Penydarren
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 64:23 | 54 |
| 2 | Port Talbot | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Risca United | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 32:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Goytre AFC | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 32 |
| 5 | Garden Village | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:29 | 29 |
| 6 | Caldicot | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:25 | 26 |
| 7 | Penydarren | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:22 | 24 |
| 8 | Ton Pentre | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 31:42 | 22 |
| 9 | Bridgend Street | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 35:25 | 21 |
| 10 | Pontardawe | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22:28 | 19 |
| 11 | Abergavenny Town | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25:42 | 18 |
| 12 | Aberbargoed Buds | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:31 | 16 |
| 13 | Monmouth | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 27:39 | 14 |
| 14 | Llwydcoed | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20:33 | 14 |
| 15 | Croesyceiliog FC | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Dinas Powys | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 28:57 | 9 |
