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Caldiero Terme vs Scanzorosciate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Zerbato L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Caldiero Terme and Scanzorosciate finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Caldiero Terme
35%
Draws
10%
Scanzorosciate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldiero Terme come out ahead of Scanzorosciate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caldiero Terme a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Scanzorosciate have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 20%
Scanzorosciate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme Scanzorosciate
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Scanzorosciate
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Caldiero Terme
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Scanzorosciate
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbato L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Scanzorosciate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 40 / 100
Scanzorosciate 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme Scanzorosciate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Caldiero Terme remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scanzorosciate has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Scanzorosciate has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS Scanzorosciate
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
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Scanzorosciate

(Away)
04 Oct
Piacenza
4 : 0
Scanzorosciate
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 1
Scanzorosciate
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)