Sport Picks
Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona 
Match Events
31'
31'
Rossi D.
45'
45'
Parisi S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldiero Terme
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Caldiero Terme have won more games recently than Villa Valle.
- Win probability leans Caldiero Terme's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme
2:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Caldiero Terme
2:4
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Villa Valle
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Parisi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Rossi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caldiero Terme 50 / 100
Villa Valle 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caldiero Terme Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caldiero Terme scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Villa Valle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Caldiero Terme remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caldiero Terme VS Villa Valle
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Caldiero Terme
(Home) 20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
02 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
