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Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
McNeil R.
45' Event
McNeil R.
Assist: Mullen R.
51' Event
McLaren C.
Assist: McNeil R.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Caledonian Braves and Newton Stewart finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caledonian Braves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Caledonian Braves
15%
Draws
21%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caledonian Braves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caledonian Braves come out ahead of Newton Stewart on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caledonian Braves a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caledonian Braves Clean Sheet 14%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caledonian Braves Newton Stewart
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 19 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.84 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.58 3.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Lowland League
Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart
5:0
Sep 17, 2022 Scottish Cup
Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caledonian Braves Compare

Top Goalscorer McNeil R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McLaren C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Newton Stewart Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caledonian Braves 84 / 100
Newton Stewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caledonian Braves Newton Stewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caledonian Braves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caledonian Braves found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Newton Stewart conceded in 95% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caledonian Braves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caledonian Braves VS Newton Stewart
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Caledonian Braves

(Home)
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
15 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 2
Caledonian Braves
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
29 Aug
Caledonian Braves
5 : 2
Kilwinning Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Newton Stewart

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)