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Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Calor De San Pedro Logo

Calor De San Pedro

3 - 1
FT
Ciervos Logo

Ciervos

Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Lozano A.
79' Event
Lozano A.
87' Event
Anchico J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Calor De San Pedro in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calor De San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Calor De San Pedro
15%
Draws
26%
Ciervos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calor De San Pedro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Calor De San Pedro have won more games recently than Ciervos.
  • Model gives Calor De San Pedro a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Calor De San Pedro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 20%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calor De San Pedro Ciervos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.39 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Calor De San Pedro
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Calor De San Pedro
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calor De San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ciervos Compare

Top Goalscorer Anchico J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calor De San Pedro 85 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calor De San Pedro Ciervos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calor De San Pedro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciervos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Calor De San Pedro's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Calor De San Pedro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calor De San Pedro VS Ciervos
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Calor De San Pedro

(Home)
02 Oct
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Acambaro
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Ciervos

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)