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Calor De San Pedro vs Pachuca 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Hernandez M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Calor De San Pedro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Calor De San Pedro
35%
Draws
30%
Pachuca 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Calor De San Pedro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Calor De San Pedro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Calor De San Pedro, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calor De San Pedro Pachuca 2
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.28 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs Calor De San Pedro
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Calor De San Pedro vs Pachuca 2
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Calor De San Pedro vs Pachuca 2
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs Calor De San Pedro
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calor De San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pachuca 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calor De San Pedro 32 / 100
Pachuca 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calor De San Pedro Pachuca 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calor De San Pedro's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pachuca 2 conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Calor De San Pedro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calor De San Pedro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calor De San Pedro

(Home)
02 Oct
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Acambaro
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 7

Pachuca 2

(Away)
04 May
FC Santiago
2 : 1
Pachuca 2
30 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 1
FC Santiago
27 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 1
Artesanos Metepec
24 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
1 : 1
Pachuca 2
19 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FC Santiago 4
Club CDM 0
CD Ayense 6
Cordobes FC 1
Pachuca 2 1
Calor De San Pedro 1
Artesanos Metepec 5
Canoneros FC 2
Semi-finals
FC Santiago 4
CD Ayense 0
Pachuca 2 2
Artesanos Metepec 2
Final
FC Santiago 3
Pachuca 2 2