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Calouros do Ar vs Vila Real

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Calouros do Ar Logo

Calouros do Ar

1 - 2
FT
Vila Real Logo

Vila Real

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
67' Event
90' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vila Real in this Cearense 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Calouros do Ar
25%
Draws
46%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Real lately — more wins on the board than Calouros do Ar.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Calouros do Ar Clean Sheet 21%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calouros do Ar Vila Real
Matches Played 3 14
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 0.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cearense 3
Calouros do Ar vs Vila Real
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calouros do Ar 32 / 100
Vila Real 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calouros do Ar Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calouros do Ar scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Vila Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Calouros do Ar has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calouros do Ar VS Vila Real
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calouros do Ar

(Home)
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
10 Aug
Acopiara
3 : 0
Calouros do Ar
26 Jul
Calouros do Ar
1 : 0
Palmacia

Vila Real

(Away)
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
01 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
25 Jul
Vila Real
0 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
15 Nov
Vila Real
0 : 1
Maracana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Acopiara 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Pacatuba 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 Tiangua EC 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
5 Esporte Limoeiro 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
6 Calouros do Ar 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
7 Palmacia 4 0 0 4 3:7 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)