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Calvary vs Kaaro Karungi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League Midigo P/S Play Ground, Yumbe
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AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Calvary and Kaaro Karungi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Calvary
20%
Draws
34%
Kaaro Karungi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaaro Karungi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Calvary taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Calvary Clean Sheet 20%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvary Kaaro Karungi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.52 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Big League
Calvary vs Kaaro Karungi
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Big League
Calvary vs Kaaro Karungi
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Calvary
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Big League
Calvary vs Kaaro Karungi
2:1
Oct 12, 2023 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Calvary
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvary 76 / 100
Kaaro Karungi 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvary Kaaro Karungi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Calvary remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kaaro Karungi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Calvary found the back of the net in 34% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Calvary VS Kaaro Karungi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvary

(Home)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 0
Calvary
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
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Kaaro Karungi

(Away)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)