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Calvary vs Onduparaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League Midigo P/S Play Ground, Yumbe
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calvary host Onduparaka in the Big League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Calvary at 0.48 goals for, 0.93 against; Onduparaka at 0.86 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Calvary slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.51) point toward Calvary. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Calvary
30%
Draws
19%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Onduparaka have won more games recently than Calvary.
  • Calvary are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Calvary Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvary Onduparaka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.48 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Calvary
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Big League
Calvary vs Onduparaka
1:0
Jun 2, 2024 Big League
Onduparaka vs Calvary
3:0
Dec 21, 2023 Big League
Calvary vs Onduparaka
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvary 85 / 100
Onduparaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvary Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calvary has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Onduparaka let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Away concern: Onduparaka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calvary VS Onduparaka
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvary

(Home)
05 Nov
Calvary
1 : 1
SC Volcanoes
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
11 Oct
Calvary
0 : 0
Amus College FC
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
Page 1 of 6

Onduparaka

(Away)
01 Nov
SC Volcanoes
4 : 0
Onduparaka
25 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
1 : 1
Onduparaka
11 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 2
Paidha Black Angels
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)