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Calvary vs SC Volcanoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League Midigo P/S Play Ground, Yumbe
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Calvary
35%
Draws
27%
SC Volcanoes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calvary lately — more wins on the board than SC Volcanoes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 18.8%
Calvary Clean Sheet 68%
SC Volcanoes Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvary SC Volcanoes
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 7 3
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 0.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Big League
Calvary vs SC Volcanoes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvary 41 / 100
SC Volcanoes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvary SC Volcanoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Calvary remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Calvary's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SC Volcanoes let in goals in 33% of their last 6 matches.

Scoring Trends

Calvary VS SC Volcanoes
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.43
50% Over 1.5 43%
0% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvary

(Home)
05 Nov
Calvary
1 : 1
SC Volcanoes
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
11 Oct
Calvary
0 : 0
Amus College FC
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
Page 1 of 6

SC Volcanoes

(Away)
05 Nov
Calvary
1 : 1
SC Volcanoes
01 Nov
SC Volcanoes
4 : 0
Onduparaka
25 Oct
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
SC Volcanoes
18 Oct
SC Volcanoes
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
11 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
SC Volcanoes
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)