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Calvi Noale vs Mestre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brandi N.
10' Event
Olonisakin T.

AI Match Summary

Mestre in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Calvi Noale
35%
Draws
28%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calvi Noale lately — more wins on the board than Mestre.
  • Model gives Calvi Noale a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mestre have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%
Mestre Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale Mestre
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Mestre
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Mestre
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Calvi Noale
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Calvi Noale
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Mestre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olonisakin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 59 / 100
Mestre 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Calvi Noale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Calvi Noale's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS Mestre
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

Mestre

(Away)
07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2
Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1
Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)