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Calvi Noale vs Portogruaro Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Vranic A.
65' Event
Miccoli T.

AI Match Summary

Calvi Noale in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Calvi Noale
20%
Draws
0%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Portogruaro haven't matched Calvi Noale's recent run of results.
  • Calvi Noale are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale Portogruaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.17 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.32 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Calvi Noale
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Portogruaro
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Portogruaro
0:3
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Calvi Noale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Vranic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miccoli T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 95 / 100
Portogruaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Portogruaro's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Calvi Noale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS Portogruaro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.14
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
04 Oct
Virtus Bolzano
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)