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Calvi vs Tarbes

France France

CFA - Group C 2013/2014
Sat, Apr 12, 2014
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calvi host Tarbes in the CFA - Group C 2013/2014. This has Calvi written all over it on paper. Calvi have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Tarbes's 1.11 scored and 2.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Calvi slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2014, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Calvi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Calvi
25%
Draws
35%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Calvi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Calvi haven't matched Tarbes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Calvi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Calvi Clean Sheet 20%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Tarbes
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 1.8 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Calvi vs Tarbes
0:0
Nov 30, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Calvi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi 58 / 100
Tarbes 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Tarbes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tarbes
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi

(Home)

Tarbes

(Away)
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
28 Apr
Tarbes
1 : 0
RC Grasse
21 Apr
Stade Bordelais
3 : 1
Tarbes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico Marseille 28 14 8 6 48:25 78
2 Rodez 28 14 8 6 38:27 77
3 Grenoble 28 12 10 6 41:26 74
4 Hyeres 28 12 9 7 31:32 72
5 Pau 28 11 8 9 32:27 69
6 Cannes 28 9 10 9 31:30 65
7 Martigues 28 10 7 11 30:29 65
8 Monaco II 28 9 9 10 43:42 64
9 Beziers 28 7 14 7 35:32 63
10 Marignane GCB 28 10 5 13 29:35 63
11 Nice II 28 8 10 10 34:38 62
12 Pontet 28 9 6 13 23:36 60
13 Tarbes 28 7 10 11 24:35 59
14 Valence 28 6 12 10 26:34 58
15 Stade Montois 28 6 6 16 29:46 52
16 Calvi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)