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Stadium Background

Camacari vs Vitoria da Conquista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Santos Ferraz Luz J. M.
8' Event
Santos Ferraz Luz J. M.
13' Event
Breno

AI Match Summary

Vitoria da Conquista in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria da Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Camacari
15%
Draws
85%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria da Conquista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista have won more games recently than Camacari.
  • Vitoria da Conquista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitoria da Conquista have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Camacari Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacari Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Baiano 2
Camacari vs Vitoria da Conquista
2:5
Apr 15, 2012 Baiano
Camacari vs Vitoria da Conquista
2:3
Jan 18, 2012 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Camacari
0:1
Feb 27, 2011 Baiano
Camacari vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:2
Jan 30, 2011 Baiano
Vitoria da Conquista vs Camacari
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacari Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Josemar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos Ferraz Luz J. M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lazaro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacari 10 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacari Vitoria da Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria da Conquista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Camacari found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Vitoria da Conquista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Camacari VS Vitoria da Conquista
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacari

(Home)
05 Jul
Redencao
4 : 0
Camacari
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
11 Jun
SSA
8 : 0
Camacari
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria da Conquista

(Away)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)