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Camacha vs Castro Daire

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Camacha
30%
Draws
19%
Castro Daire
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Camacha have won more games recently than Castro Daire.
  • Win probability leans Camacha's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Castro Daire
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Castro Daire
0:0
Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs Camacha
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 68 / 100
Castro Daire 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Castro Daire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Camacha stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Camacha found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Castro Daire has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Castro Daire's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS Castro Daire
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
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Castro Daire

(Away)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)